Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with daytime maxima likely peaking near 23–25°C on June 18, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects that can shave 1–2°C off peak readings. Minor adjustments in the next 48-hour runs, particularly shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or cloud cover, could tip the exact daily maximum between these two bins, while historical June variability supports the low probabilities assigned to outcomes above 26°C or below 22°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 36%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
36%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
19°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$66 Vol.
32%
24°C
$81 Vol.
36%
25°C
$243 Vol.
17%
26°C
$116 Vol.
5%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with daytime maxima likely peaking near 23–25°C on June 18, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects that can shave 1–2°C off peak readings. Minor adjustments in the next 48-hour runs, particularly shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or cloud cover, could tip the exact daily maximum between these two bins, while historical June variability supports the low probabilities assigned to outcomes above 26°C or below 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
音量
$1,105終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with daytime maxima likely peaking near 23–25°C on June 18, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects that can shave 1–2°C off peak readings. Minor adjustments in the next 48-hour runs, particularly shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or cloud cover, could tip the exact daily maximum between these two bins, while historical June variability supports the low probabilities assigned to outcomes above 26°C or below 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,105終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with daytime maxima likely peaking near 23–25°C on June 18, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and Bosphorus sea-breeze effects that can shave 1–2°C off peak readings. Minor adjustments in the next 48-hour runs, particularly shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or cloud cover, could tip the exact daily maximum between these two bins, while historical June variability supports the low probabilities assigned to outcomes above 26°C or below 22°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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