Recent forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and numerical models indicate a cool winter day for Cape Town on June 18, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly winds. This aligns with the region’s Mediterranean climate during meteorological winter, when frequent cold fronts and Atlantic systems keep averages around 17 °C; recent passages of cut-off lows have reinforced cooler conditions without strong warming signals. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on the 19 °C outcome while allowing modest probability for 20 °C if subsidence strengthens or for 18 °C if onshore flow persists. Updated model runs and official guidance issued closer to the date will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
19°C 42%
20°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 5.8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
42%
20°C
23%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 5.8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
42%
20°C
23%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and numerical models indicate a cool winter day for Cape Town on June 18, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly winds. This aligns with the region’s Mediterranean climate during meteorological winter, when frequent cold fronts and Atlantic systems keep averages around 17 °C; recent passages of cut-off lows have reinforced cooler conditions without strong warming signals. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting trader consensus on the 19 °C outcome while allowing modest probability for 20 °C if subsidence strengthens or for 18 °C if onshore flow persists. Updated model runs and official guidance issued closer to the date will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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