Recent numerical weather model runs place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum temperature near the 29–30 °C threshold, with Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicating a seasonal high of 28 °C under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely split because ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS outputs hinge on the precise timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C, versus a modest upper-level ridge that favors slight warming. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the absence of any Sharav easterly flow keep 31 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability while rendering the 29 °C versus 30 °C distinction sensitive to the next model update cycle before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
29°C 49%
30℃ 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
49%
30℃
45%
31°C
6%
32℃
2%
33°C
1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
29°C 49%
30℃ 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
26℃以下
$676 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$265 Vol.
3%
28°C
$241 Vol.
4%
29°C
$533 Vol.
49%
30℃
$14 Vol.
45%
31°C
$159 Vol.
6%
32℃
$373 Vol.
2%
33°C
$50 Vol.
1%
34℃
$5,105 Vol.
<1%
35℃
$913 Vol.
<1%
36℃以上
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum temperature near the 29–30 °C threshold, with Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicating a seasonal high of 28 °C under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely split because ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS outputs hinge on the precise timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C, versus a modest upper-level ridge that favors slight warming. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the absence of any Sharav easterly flow keep 31 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability while rendering the 29 °C versus 30 °C distinction sensitive to the next model update cycle before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$8,800終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum temperature near the 29–30 °C threshold, with Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicating a seasonal high of 28 °C under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely split because ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS outputs hinge on the precise timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C, versus a modest upper-level ridge that favors slight warming. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the absence of any Sharav easterly flow keep 31 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability while rendering the 29 °C versus 30 °C distinction sensitive to the next model update cycle before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,800終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum temperature near the 29–30 °C threshold, with Israel Meteorological Service guidance indicating a seasonal high of 28 °C under partly cloudy skies. Trader sentiment remains closely split because ensemble spreads in the ECMWF and GFS outputs hinge on the precise timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2 °C, versus a modest upper-level ridge that favors slight warming. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the absence of any Sharav easterly flow keep 31 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability while rendering the 29 °C versus 30 °C distinction sensitive to the next model update cycle before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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