Latest numerical weather prediction runs from European and global models indicate a building subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley that favor maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C in Milan on 18 June. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with the 34 °C bin holding the highest market-implied probability because most deterministic solutions cluster near 34.4 °C while a minority cooler or warmer members support the closely priced 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Historical June climatology places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 31 °C, so current guidance reflects a positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than typical variability. Updated high-resolution model output and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
34℃ 39%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃
11%
33°C
33%
34℃
39%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34℃ 39%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
30°C or below
$401 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$856 Vol.
1%
32℃
$536 Vol.
11%
33°C
$850 Vol.
33%
34℃
$424 Vol.
39%
35°C
$277 Vol.
18%
36°C
$208 Vol.
2%
37°C
$2,671 Vol.
1%
38°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from European and global models indicate a building subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley that favor maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C in Milan on 18 June. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with the 34 °C bin holding the highest market-implied probability because most deterministic solutions cluster near 34.4 °C while a minority cooler or warmer members support the closely priced 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Historical June climatology places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 31 °C, so current guidance reflects a positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than typical variability. Updated high-resolution model output and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
音量
$6,056終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from European and global models indicate a building subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley that favor maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C in Milan on 18 June. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with the 34 °C bin holding the highest market-implied probability because most deterministic solutions cluster near 34.4 °C while a minority cooler or warmer members support the closely priced 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Historical June climatology places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 31 °C, so current guidance reflects a positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than typical variability. Updated high-resolution model output and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,056終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction runs from European and global models indicate a building subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley that favor maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C in Milan on 18 June. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with the 34 °C bin holding the highest market-implied probability because most deterministic solutions cluster near 34.4 °C while a minority cooler or warmer members support the closely priced 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Historical June climatology places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 31 °C, so current guidance reflects a positive anomaly driven by the ridge rather than typical variability. Updated high-resolution model output and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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