Persistent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Milan on June 16, with those outcomes holding 37% and 32% implied probability. Ensemble guidance highlights strong daytime radiative heating under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture advection, and minimal Alpine cooling, producing afternoon maxima several degrees above the mid-June climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing, peak insolation timing, and any residual cloud cover keeps 31°C at 14% while capping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated short-range runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
27°C or below
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
27°C or below
$1,463 Vol.
2%
28°C
$704 Vol.
13%
29°C
$264 Vol.
37%
30°C
$120 Vol.
36%
31°C
$49 Vol.
8%
32°C
$4 Vol.
2%
33°C
$129 Vol.
1%
34°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Milan on June 16, with those outcomes holding 37% and 32% implied probability. Ensemble guidance highlights strong daytime radiative heating under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture advection, and minimal Alpine cooling, producing afternoon maxima several degrees above the mid-June climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing, peak insolation timing, and any residual cloud cover keeps 31°C at 14% while capping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated short-range runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$4,125終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Milan on June 16, with those outcomes holding 37% and 32% implied probability. Ensemble guidance highlights strong daytime radiative heating under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture advection, and minimal Alpine cooling, producing afternoon maxima several degrees above the mid-June climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing, peak insolation timing, and any residual cloud cover keeps 31°C at 14% while capping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated short-range runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,125終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETPersistent high-pressure dominance over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Milan on June 16, with those outcomes holding 37% and 32% implied probability. Ensemble guidance highlights strong daytime radiative heating under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture advection, and minimal Alpine cooling, producing afternoon maxima several degrees above the mid-June climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing, peak insolation timing, and any residual cloud cover keeps 31°C at 14% while capping higher thresholds below 3%. Updated short-range runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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