Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm but not extreme air mass over northern Italy, with Milan daytime highs most likely reaching 30–31°C on June 15 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average maxima hover near 26–28°C but recent days have trended 2–4°C above normal due to southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, keeping probabilities concentrated on 30–32°C while limiting upside risk from stronger heat advection or downside from increased instability and showers. Updated runs ahead of the 15th will refine the exact peak as local observations and boundary-layer conditions evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 42%
30°C 33%
32°C 20%
29°C or below 5.3%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
42%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 33%
32°C 20%
29°C or below 5.3%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
42%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a warm but not extreme air mass over northern Italy, with Milan daytime highs most likely reaching 30–31°C on June 15 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average maxima hover near 26–28°C but recent days have trended 2–4°C above normal due to southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, keeping probabilities concentrated on 30–32°C while limiting upside risk from stronger heat advection or downside from increased instability and showers. Updated runs ahead of the 15th will refine the exact peak as local observations and boundary-layer conditions evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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