Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 29°C on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with showers and 80-95% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C because small shifts in shower timing, cloud thickness, or wind patterns can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures for June–August support the upper end of that range, yet embedded tropical moisture and typical monsoon influences introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to both 28°C and 30°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 25%
27°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 25%
27°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2 Vol.
1%
26°C
$54 Vol.
4%
27°C
$23 Vol.
12%
28°C
$34 Vol.
26%
29°C
$101 Vol.
32%
30°C
$42 Vol.
25%
31°C
$181 Vol.
8%
32°C
$20 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 29°C on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with showers and 80-95% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C because small shifts in shower timing, cloud thickness, or wind patterns can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures for June–August support the upper end of that range, yet embedded tropical moisture and typical monsoon influences introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to both 28°C and 30°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$393終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 29°C on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with showers and 80-95% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C because small shifts in shower timing, cloud thickness, or wind patterns can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures for June–August support the upper end of that range, yet embedded tropical moisture and typical monsoon influences introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to both 28°C and 30°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$393終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 29°C on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with showers and 80-95% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C because small shifts in shower timing, cloud thickness, or wind patterns can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures for June–August support the upper end of that range, yet embedded tropical moisture and typical monsoon influences introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to both 28°C and 30°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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