National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in New York City today firmly centered in the 76–77 °F range, driving the 97.4 % market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, keeping afternoon maxima near seasonal normals without significant warm-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park thermometer reading at the daily maximum; only an unexpected model bias or localized heat-island spike exceeding verification thresholds could shift the outcome into the 78–79 °F bin, currently priced below 2 %.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
76-77°F 97.8%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$87,743 Vol.
$87,743 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 97.8%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$87,743 Vol.
$87,743 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature in New York City today firmly centered in the 76–77 °F range, driving the 97.4 % market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, keeping afternoon maxima near seasonal normals without significant warm-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official Central Park thermometer reading at the daily maximum; only an unexpected model bias or localized heat-island spike exceeding verification thresholds could shift the outcome into the 78–79 °F bin, currently priced below 2 %.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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