Current forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological analyses indicate a modest warming trend under high pressure for San Francisco on June 17, with highs at KSFO likely peaking in the low 70s amid variable marine layer influence and onshore flow. This positions the closely matched 70-71°F (44.5%) and 72-73°F (41%) outcomes as frontrunners, as typical June coastal conditions—including persistent stratus clouds, sea breezes, and upwelling—usually cap temperatures near the 67°F seasonal average while allowing brief afternoon breaks to push readings slightly higher. Differentiation between these bins hinges on exact timing of cloud clearance and sustained wind speeds, with traders weighting real-time observational data and ensemble model runs that show limited potential for 74°F or above given the strong Pacific high's moderating effect.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 31%
74-75°F 4.8%
$62,843 Vol.
$62,843 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 31%
74-75°F 4.8%
$62,843 Vol.
$62,843 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological analyses indicate a modest warming trend under high pressure for San Francisco on June 17, with highs at KSFO likely peaking in the low 70s amid variable marine layer influence and onshore flow. This positions the closely matched 70-71°F (44.5%) and 72-73°F (41%) outcomes as frontrunners, as typical June coastal conditions—including persistent stratus clouds, sea breezes, and upwelling—usually cap temperatures near the 67°F seasonal average while allowing brief afternoon breaks to push readings slightly higher. Differentiation between these bins hinges on exact timing of cloud clearance and sustained wind speeds, with traders weighting real-time observational data and ensemble model runs that show limited potential for 74°F or above given the strong Pacific high's moderating effect.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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