Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
7月25日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
21°C 32%
22°C 29%
20°C 21%
23°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/25
16°C or below
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
21%
21°C
32%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 32%
22°C 29%
20°C 21%
23°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/25
16°C or below
$31 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
2%
18°C
$31 Vol.
3%
19°C
$38 Vol.
11%
20°C
$59 Vol.
21%
21°C
$76 Vol.
32%
22°C
$50 Vol.
29%
23°C
$37 Vol.
13%
24°C
$31 Vol.
5%
25°C
$270 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$699終了日
2026/07/25マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$699終了日
2026/07/25マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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