Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Seattle's July 10 high because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent marine-layer influence and light onshore flow that caps daytime warming near typical mid-summer values. Ensemble runs show limited spread driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing, with 70-71°F edging ahead on the latest deterministic solutions. Historical July averages near 75°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns suppress heat-wave potential, keeping odds for 78°F or higher below 4 percent while still allowing modest upside if offshore flow strengthens overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日のシアトルの最高気温は?
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 10%
$14,305 Vol.
$14,305 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 10%
$14,305 Vol.
$14,305 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Seattle's July 10 high because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent marine-layer influence and light onshore flow that caps daytime warming near typical mid-summer values. Ensemble runs show limited spread driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing, with 70-71°F edging ahead on the latest deterministic solutions. Historical July averages near 75°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns suppress heat-wave potential, keeping odds for 78°F or higher below 4 percent while still allowing modest upside if offshore flow strengthens overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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