Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の上海の最高気温は？
8月3日の上海の最高気温は？
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
33%
35°C
40%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
29°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$200 Vol.
2%
32°C
$289 Vol.
3%
33°C
$597 Vol.
17%
34°C
$840 Vol.
33%
35°C
$1,227 Vol.
40%
36°C
$261 Vol.
12%
37°C
$1,470 Vol.
1%
38°C
$106 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$777 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$6,175終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,175終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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