Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 7?
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 17%
33°C 13%
新規
$14,516 Vol.
新規
$14,516 Vol.
2026/07/07
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
17%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 17%
33°C 13%
新規
$14,516 Vol.
新規
$14,516 Vol.
2026/07/07
29°C or below
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$583 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,883 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,336 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,758 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,530 Vol.
27%
35°C
$975 Vol.
29%
36°C
$1,217 Vol.
17%
37°C
$1,950 Vol.
5%
38°C
$1,426 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$803 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$14,516終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,516終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Shanghai on July 7, reflecting ensemble model guidance for typical early-July subtropical high-pressure conditions that favor daytime maxima near 32–35°C with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather and regional outlooks show July 2026 daily highs ranging 28.7–35.6°C, consistent with climatological baselines where early-month temperatures often reach the mid-30s before any monsoon or frontal influence. Key differentiating factors include slight variations in predicted wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in short-range guidance. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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