Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月29日の台北の最高気温は?
34°C 32%
35°C 24.9%
33°C 21%
36°C 9.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
21%
34°C
32%
35°C
25%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 32%
35°C 24.9%
33°C 21%
36°C 9.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
21%
34°C
32%
35°C
25%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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