**Forecasts from official and multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Taipei on September 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (29.5%), as late-September conditions feature the seasonal transition influenced by the northeast monsoon, which moderates daytime heating while clear skies permit strong solar radiation. Recent data show highs of 28–30°C on September 20–21, consistent with Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance of 23–30°C and other models projecting 29–32°C. Humidity around 60–70% and winds of 8–15 km/h from the northeast limit extreme warming, while the absence of typhoons or significant cloud cover supports values in the upper 20s to low 30s. Historical September averages hover near 30°C, providing climatological context for the tight distribution. Trader consensus reflects model agreement and minimal expected deviation, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to the stable synoptic pattern. Resolution will depend on the official CWA or station observation of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の台北の最高気温は?
31℃ 49%
32℃ 30%
30°C 10%
33°C 8%
25℃以下
1%
26℃
2%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
2%
30°C
10%
31℃
49%
32℃
30%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35℃以上
2%
31℃ 49%
32℃ 30%
30°C 10%
33°C 8%
25℃以下
1%
26℃
2%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
2%
30°C
10%
31℃
49%
32℃
30%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35℃以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from official and multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Taipei on September 22, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (29.5%), as late-September conditions feature the seasonal transition influenced by the northeast monsoon, which moderates daytime heating while clear skies permit strong solar radiation. Recent data show highs of 28–30°C on September 20–21, consistent with Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance of 23–30°C and other models projecting 29–32°C. Humidity around 60–70% and winds of 8–15 km/h from the northeast limit extreme warming, while the absence of typhoons or significant cloud cover supports values in the upper 20s to low 30s. Historical September averages hover near 30°C, providing climatological context for the tight distribution. Trader consensus reflects model agreement and minimal expected deviation, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes due to the stable synoptic pattern. Resolution will depend on the official CWA or station observation of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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