Recent forecast updates from models and agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a shift to cooler northeasterly flow and widespread rain over Tokyo on October 2, following unusually warm conditions on October 1 when highs reached 30°C. This pattern supports maximum temperatures near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 23°C. Historical early-October averages hover near 24–25°C, but the current system introduces greater cooling than typical. Model agreement on precipitation timing and wind direction reinforces this range, though minor shifts in storm track could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance is expected overnight as observations refine the outlook.