**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のトロントの最高気温は？
9月3日のトロントの最高気温は？
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
29℃ 17%
26℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23℃以下
2%
24℃
2%
25℃
2%
26℃
8%
27°C
35%
28°C
41%
29℃
17%
30°C
4%
31℃
2%
32°C
2%
33℃以上
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
29℃ 17%
26℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23℃以下
$55 Vol.
2%
24℃
$15 Vol.
2%
25℃
$20 Vol.
2%
26℃
$20 Vol.
8%
27°C
$132 Vol.
35%
28°C
$124 Vol.
41%
29℃
$115 Vol.
17%
30°C
$59 Vol.
4%
31℃
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33℃以上
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$570終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$570終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Toronto's September 3 high temperature centers on modest forecast uncertainty two days out, with 27°C and 28°C capturing over 75% of market-implied probability.** Official guidance from Environment Canada points to a 26°C high under partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, while several models and private forecasts cluster near 78–79°F (roughly 25.5–26°C). Recent model runs show limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that could allow brief clearing and push readings 1–2°C higher, consistent with the market's slight tilt above the baseline forecast. Historical September 3 averages sit near 24°C, but recent years have frequently exceeded 28°C when similar late-summer patterns persist. Key upcoming catalysts include the next Environment Canada update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs, which often refine maximum-temperature guidance by 1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any strong directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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