Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
31°C 31%
32°C 23.4%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 16.0%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C
23%
33°C or higher
16%
31°C 31%
32°C 23.4%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 16.0%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
23°C or below
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,327 Vol.
1%
28°C
$781 Vol.
3%
29°C
$394 Vol.
10%
30°C
$814 Vol.
18%
31°C
$95 Vol.
31%
32°C
$110 Vol.
23%
33°C or higher
$977 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$5,658終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,658終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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