Above-normal Western Pacific tropical cyclone activity has driven seven landfalls in China through early October 2026, slightly exceeding the long-term average of about 6.5, with recent examples including Noul—the season’s strongest at landfall in Guangdong—and earlier systems such as Bavi, Dolphin, and Saudel. China’s National Meteorological Centre reports 26 named storms generated so far versus a typical 18, fueled by favorable sea-surface temperatures and steering patterns that have favored East Asian tracks. Official outlooks project one to two additional impacts through October, primarily along southern and eastern coasts, keeping totals clustered near 8–9 by year-end. Market-implied odds near 49% for exactly eight and 40% for more than eight reflect uncertainty over late-season genesis, potential El Niño influences on intensity and paths, and remaining forecast revisions from CMA and JMA models before resolution.