**Tensions between Israel and Turkey have risen sharply over competing influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block alleged Turkish troop deployments.** Both sides exchanged strong accusations, with Ankara denying plans for a base and Israel framing any Turkish military entrenchment as a red line. US mediation, including envoy statements and reported deconfliction efforts involving the Mossad and Syrian officials, has helped contain escalation. Turkey's NATO membership and close ties between the Trump administration and leaders in both Ankara and Jerusalem further deter direct confrontation. Analysts describe the dynamic as intensifying rivalry and proxy competition rather than imminent open conflict, supporting trader consensus against a military clash before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
14% 確率
$428,699 Vol.
$428,699 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$428,699 Vol.
$428,699 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Tensions between Israel and Turkey have risen sharply over competing influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block alleged Turkish troop deployments.** Both sides exchanged strong accusations, with Ankara denying plans for a base and Israel framing any Turkish military entrenchment as a red line. US mediation, including envoy statements and reported deconfliction efforts involving the Mossad and Syrian officials, has helped contain escalation. Turkey's NATO membership and close ties between the Trump administration and leaders in both Ankara and Jerusalem further deter direct confrontation. Analysts describe the dynamic as intensifying rivalry and proxy competition rather than imminent open conflict, supporting trader consensus against a military clash before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$428,699終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Tensions between Israel and Turkey have risen sharply over competing influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block alleged Turkish troop deployments.** Both sides exchanged strong accusations, with Ankara denying plans for a base and Israel framing any Turkish military entrenchment as a red line. US mediation, including envoy statements and reported deconfliction efforts involving the Mossad and Syrian officials, has helped contain escalation. Turkey's NATO membership and close ties between the Trump administration and leaders in both Ankara and Jerusalem further deter direct confrontation. Analysts describe the dynamic as intensifying rivalry and proxy competition rather than imminent open conflict, supporting trader consensus against a military clash before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$428,699終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Tensions between Israel and Turkey have risen sharply over competing influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block alleged Turkish troop deployments.** Both sides exchanged strong accusations, with Ankara denying plans for a base and Israel framing any Turkish military entrenchment as a red line. US mediation, including envoy statements and reported deconfliction efforts involving the Mossad and Syrian officials, has helped contain escalation. Turkey's NATO membership and close ties between the Trump administration and leaders in both Ankara and Jerusalem further deter direct confrontation. Analysts describe the dynamic as intensifying rivalry and proxy competition rather than imminent open conflict, supporting trader consensus against a military clash before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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