Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on drug possession and resisting arrest charges initially raised the specter of felony penalties, yet trader consensus now heavily favors no prison time. The decisive catalyst is his entry into a deferred prosecution agreement earlier this year, under which prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and will dismiss the remaining charges if he completes the program by the October 31, 2026 resolution deadline. A May period of house arrest with an ankle monitor aligns with compliance rather than active prosecution, while the absence of reported violations or new incidents has kept momentum firmly on the side of avoiding conviction. Upcoming court monitoring through the fall remains the key swing factor, though historical patterns for similar low-level streamer cases and the market's skin-in-the-game pricing underscore the strong likelihood of a clean resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジャック・ドハーティ刑務所の時間？
ジャック・ドハーティ刑務所の時間？
実刑なし 83.8%
2～5年 8.5%
2年未満 3.9%
5年以上 3.4%
$22,498 Vol.
$22,498 Vol.
2026/10/31
実刑なし
86%
2年未満
4%
2～5年
9%
5年以上
3%
実刑なし 83.8%
2～5年 8.5%
2年未満 3.9%
5年以上 3.4%
$22,498 Vol.
$22,498 Vol.
2026/10/31
実刑なし
$13,288 Vol.
86%
2年未満
$3,318 Vol.
4%
2～5年
$2,416 Vol.
9%
5年以上
$3,476 Vol.
3%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on drug possession and resisting arrest charges initially raised the specter of felony penalties, yet trader consensus now heavily favors no prison time. The decisive catalyst is his entry into a deferred prosecution agreement earlier this year, under which prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and will dismiss the remaining charges if he completes the program by the October 31, 2026 resolution deadline. A May period of house arrest with an ankle monitor aligns with compliance rather than active prosecution, while the absence of reported violations or new incidents has kept momentum firmly on the side of avoiding conviction. Upcoming court monitoring through the fall remains the key swing factor, though historical patterns for similar low-level streamer cases and the market's skin-in-the-game pricing underscore the strong likelihood of a clean resolution.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$22,498終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on drug possession and resisting arrest charges initially raised the specter of felony penalties, yet trader consensus now heavily favors no prison time. The decisive catalyst is his entry into a deferred prosecution agreement earlier this year, under which prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and will dismiss the remaining charges if he completes the program by the October 31, 2026 resolution deadline. A May period of house arrest with an ankle monitor aligns with compliance rather than active prosecution, while the absence of reported violations or new incidents has kept momentum firmly on the side of avoiding conviction. Upcoming court monitoring through the fall remains the key swing factor, though historical patterns for similar low-level streamer cases and the market's skin-in-the-game pricing underscore the strong likelihood of a clean resolution.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,498終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on drug possession and resisting arrest charges initially raised the specter of felony penalties, yet trader consensus now heavily favors no prison time. The decisive catalyst is his entry into a deferred prosecution agreement earlier this year, under which prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and will dismiss the remaining charges if he completes the program by the October 31, 2026 resolution deadline. A May period of house arrest with an ankle monitor aligns with compliance rather than active prosecution, while the absence of reported violations or new incidents has kept momentum firmly on the side of avoiding conviction. Upcoming court monitoring through the fall remains the key swing factor, though historical patterns for similar low-level streamer cases and the market's skin-in-the-game pricing underscore the strong likelihood of a clean resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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