Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time at 75.4% implied probability for YouTuber Jack Doherty, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (confirmed as cocaine at his January 2026 arraignment), misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams, and resisting an officer without violence—combined with his clean prior record and resources for top legal defense. First-time offender status in Florida often leads to diversion programs, probation, or fines rather than incarceration, especially for small quantities found during a content-filming traffic disruption. Absent conviction updates since early 2026, markets price in plea deal momentum over maximum seven-year exposure, though upcoming hearings could shift dynamics amid Doherty's ongoing stunt-streaming persona.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジャック・ドハーティ刑務所の時間?
ジャック・ドハーティ刑務所の時間?
実刑なし 75.5%
2~5年 10.9%
2年未満 3.6%
5年以上 1.1%
$18,969 Vol.
$18,969 Vol.
実刑なし
76%
2年未満
11%
2~5年
11%
5年以上
1%
実刑なし 75.5%
2~5年 10.9%
2年未満 3.6%
5年以上 1.1%
$18,969 Vol.
$18,969 Vol.
実刑なし
76%
2年未満
11%
2~5年
11%
5年以上
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time at 75.4% implied probability for YouTuber Jack Doherty, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (confirmed as cocaine at his January 2026 arraignment), misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams, and resisting an officer without violence—combined with his clean prior record and resources for top legal defense. First-time offender status in Florida often leads to diversion programs, probation, or fines rather than incarceration, especially for small quantities found during a content-filming traffic disruption. Absent conviction updates since early 2026, markets price in plea deal momentum over maximum seven-year exposure, though upcoming hearings could shift dynamics amid Doherty's ongoing stunt-streaming persona.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問