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icon for Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

icon for Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

46% 確率
Polymarket
新規
46% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no breakup before August at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau's steady stream of confirmed public appearances and social media affirmations signaling relationship stability. After going Instagram official with cozy Japan tour photos in December 2025—following summer 2025 dating rumors—the couple hard-launched further at Coachella 2026 and a Netflix event in April, with Perry sharing affectionate pickle jar snaps as recently as May 3. Early 2026 breakup speculation fizzled without verified statements or evidence, while ex-wife Sophie Grégoire's neutral comments underscored amicability. Despite tabloid chatter on political optics, no official discord has emerged, though celebrity romances remain unpredictable ahead of the market's timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$631
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no breakup before August at 69.5% implied probability, driven by Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau's steady stream of confirmed public appearances and social media affirmations signaling relationship stability. After going Instagram official with cozy Japan tour photos in December 2025—following summer 2025 dating rumors—the couple hard-launched further at Coachella 2026 and a Netflix event in April, with Perry sharing affectionate pickle jar snaps as recently as May 3. Early 2026 breakup speculation fizzled without verified statements or evidence, while ex-wife Sophie Grégoire's neutral comments underscored amicability. Despite tabloid chatter on political optics, no official discord has emerged, though celebrity romances remain unpredictable ahead of the market's timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$631
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau end their romantic relationship by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry, Justin Trudeau, or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? 」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して46%です。例えば、「はい」が46¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を46%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? 」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? 」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? 」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して46%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を46%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。