Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward "No" at 71.5% implied probability for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, reflecting the absence of any confirmed public announcement, ring sighting, or official statement midway through the year despite early speculation. The couple, linked since 2023, remains solidly together based on verified recent public appearances, including courtside PDA at New York Knicks playoff games in late April and Chalamet's Instagram confirmation of their status via a May 4 Story during the Met Gala, where Jenner attended solo to avoid the event's notorious "curse" on relationships. While tabloid reports hint at private proposal talks and Chalamet's growing commitment, entertainment insiders note their low-key dynamic and Jenner's focus on business ventures like KHY relaunch introduce high uncertainty, with no precursor signals like family endorsements or award-season shoutouts shifting odds yet—watch for summer events or holidays as potential catalysts.