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icon for LA -05共和党予備選
政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA -05共和党予備選

icon for LA -05共和党予備選
政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA -05共和党予備選

マイケル・エコールズ 9.0%

ブレイク・ミゲズ 8%

ミスティ・コーデル 4.3%

リック・エドモンズ 2.0%

Polymarket

$41,747 Vol.

マイケル・エコールズ 9.0%

ブレイク・ミゲズ 8%

ミスティ・コーデル 4.3%

リック・エドモンズ 2.0%

Polymarket

$41,747 Vol.

マイケル・エコールズ

$10,319 Vol.

8%

ブレイク・ミゲズ

$21,380 Vol.

19%

ミスティ・コーデル

$921 Vol.

4%

リック・エドモンズ

$1,173 Vol.

2%

オースティン・マギー

$1,187 Vol.

1%

マイケル・メブルーア

$896 Vol.

1%

サミュエル・ワイアット

$5,872 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary, a fragmented field has produced the current trader consensus, with no single contender exceeding 25 percent support in recent polling. Blake Miguez leads due to President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA warrior" and a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, which has supported broader name recognition across the district. Michael Echols remains competitive through his local legislative record and Monroe base but trails amid residency questions raised by opponents. Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and lower-polling candidates have yet to consolidate regional or donor backing. Upcoming voter turnout in the May 16 contest and any late endorsements could shift probabilities by narrowing choices among conservative voters seeking the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$41,747
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary, a fragmented field has produced the current trader consensus, with no single contender exceeding 25 percent support in recent polling. Blake Miguez leads due to President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA warrior" and a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, which has supported broader name recognition across the district. Michael Echols remains competitive through his local legislative record and Monroe base but trails amid residency questions raised by opponents. Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and lower-polling candidates have yet to consolidate regional or donor backing. Upcoming voter turnout in the May 16 contest and any late endorsements could shift probabilities by narrowing choices among conservative voters seeking the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$41,747
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「LA -05共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブレイク・ミゲズ」で19%、次いで「マイケル・エコールズ」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、19¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に19%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「LA -05共和党予備選」は$41.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「LA -05共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「LA -05共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブレイク・ミゲズ」で19%であり、市場がこの結果に19%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マイケル・エコールズ」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「LA -05共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。