**Spencer Pratt's strong primary performance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race has driven trader consensus toward the Over 25% outcome.** His campaign tapped into widespread voter frustration with incumbent Karen Bass's handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire and broader city issues, drawing national attention as a Republican reality TV personality with Trump support. Early vote counts showed Pratt in second place with shares near or above 27%, and final tallies settled around 25.5–25.8%—just enough to clear the threshold despite late mail ballots favoring rival Nithya Raman. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the competitive field and Pratt's ability to consolidate conservative and protest votes in a heavily Democratic city, with few remaining scenarios likely to pull his total below 25%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
Over
新規
新規
2026/11/04
Over
新規
新規
2026/11/04
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.**Spencer Pratt's strong primary performance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race has driven trader consensus toward the Over 25% outcome.** His campaign tapped into widespread voter frustration with incumbent Karen Bass's handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire and broader city issues, drawing national attention as a Republican reality TV personality with Trump support. Early vote counts showed Pratt in second place with shares near or above 27%, and final tallies settled around 25.5–25.8%—just enough to clear the threshold despite late mail ballots favoring rival Nithya Raman. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the competitive field and Pratt's ability to consolidate conservative and protest votes in a heavily Democratic city, with few remaining scenarios likely to pull his total below 25%.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
マーケット開始日： Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
音量
$1,736終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.**Spencer Pratt's strong primary performance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race has driven trader consensus toward the Over 25% outcome.** His campaign tapped into widespread voter frustration with incumbent Karen Bass's handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire and broader city issues, drawing national attention as a Republican reality TV personality with Trump support. Early vote counts showed Pratt in second place with shares near or above 27%, and final tallies settled around 25.5–25.8%—just enough to clear the threshold despite late mail ballots favoring rival Nithya Raman. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the competitive field and Pratt's ability to consolidate conservative and protest votes in a heavily Democratic city, with few remaining scenarios likely to pull his total below 25%.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
音量
$1,736終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Spencer Pratt's strong primary performance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race has driven trader consensus toward the Over 25% outcome.** His campaign tapped into widespread voter frustration with incumbent Karen Bass's handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire and broader city issues, drawing national attention as a Republican reality TV personality with Trump support. Early vote counts showed Pratt in second place with shares near or above 27%, and final tallies settled around 25.5–25.8%—just enough to clear the threshold despite late mail ballots favoring rival Nithya Raman. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the competitive field and Pratt's ability to consolidate conservative and protest votes in a heavily Democratic city, with few remaining scenarios likely to pull his total below 25%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問