Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a strong cold front will sweep through North Texas on October 16, shifting winds northerly at 20-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph before clearing skies and moderating temperatures. This sets up a likely minimum of 48-52°F on October 17 under mostly clear conditions and lighter winds, near or slightly below the seasonal average low of about 57°F. The near-even market split between 41°F or below and 60°F or higher reflects uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, driven by variations in model timing of frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, and radiational cooling rates under high pressure. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will clarify whether the low settles in the upper 40s or edges higher.
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