Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models show Dallas overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-60s for October 7 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling without a strong cold-air intrusion. This consensus from the latest model runs places the most probable minimum near 64°F, aligning with the market's leading 64-65°F outcome at 56% implied probability. Historical averages for the date hover around 62°F, but current steering patterns and absence of frontal passages keep temperatures elevated relative to cooler analogs. Traders appear to weigh the tight model agreement and limited downside risk from unexpected cooling against minor forecast spread that could still allow a dip into the low 60s or a hold near 66-67°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.