Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on October 9 will most likely fall between 12–17°C under clear skies and light southerly flow, with trader consensus centering on 14°C as the mode. Radiational cooling overnight beneath high pressure supports this range, tempered by a mild maritime air mass that has kept recent overnight lows near seasonal normals of 14–16°C. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, though slight revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the market's tight clustering around mid-teens reflective of this stable, low-uncertainty setup.