**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月28日のマイアミの最低気温は？
7月28日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80〜81°F 37%
78～79°F 28%
76〜77°F 18%
74〜75°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
69°F以下
1%
70～71°F
1%
72～73°F
8%
74〜75°F
15%
76〜77°F
18%
78～79°F
28%
80〜81°F
20%
82〜83°F
15%
84～85°F
15%
86～87°F
1%
88°F以上
1%
80〜81°F 37%
78～79°F 28%
76〜77°F 18%
74〜75°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
69°F以下
$22 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$27 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$71 Vol.
8%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
18%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80〜81°F
$11 Vol.
20%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
15%
84～85°F
$0 Vol.
15%
86～87°F
$72 Vol.
1%
88°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$202終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$202終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問