Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate variable nocturnal cooling over Paris, with minimum temperatures on July 30 likely falling in the 15–20°C range amid post-heatwave stabilization. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or residual moisture from Atlantic flow could limit drops and support readings near 19–20°C. Historical July minima average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, though 2026 conditions have featured elevated baselines earlier in the month. Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with fresh model runs and guidance updates expected daily through the 29th refining the 40.5% market-implied odds on 15°C or below versus closely matched probabilities around 19–20°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月30日のパリの最低気温は？
7月30日のパリの最低気温は？
19°C 4%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$13,150 Vol.
$13,150 Vol.
2026/07/30
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
54%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 4%
18°C 3%
17°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$13,150 Vol.
$13,150 Vol.
2026/07/30
15°C or below
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,257 Vol.
1%
18°C
$887 Vol.
3%
19°C
$3,219 Vol.
4%
20°C
$2,180 Vol.
36%
21°C
$1,149 Vol.
54%
22°C
$1,230 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$495 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate variable nocturnal cooling over Paris, with minimum temperatures on July 30 likely falling in the 15–20°C range amid post-heatwave stabilization. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or residual moisture from Atlantic flow could limit drops and support readings near 19–20°C. Historical July minima average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, though 2026 conditions have featured elevated baselines earlier in the month. Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with fresh model runs and guidance updates expected daily through the 29th refining the 40.5% market-implied odds on 15°C or below versus closely matched probabilities around 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$13,150終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate variable nocturnal cooling over Paris, with minimum temperatures on July 30 likely falling in the 15–20°C range amid post-heatwave stabilization. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or residual moisture from Atlantic flow could limit drops and support readings near 19–20°C. Historical July minima average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, though 2026 conditions have featured elevated baselines earlier in the month. Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with fresh model runs and guidance updates expected daily through the 29th refining the 40.5% market-implied odds on 15°C or below versus closely matched probabilities around 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,150終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate variable nocturnal cooling over Paris, with minimum temperatures on July 30 likely falling in the 15–20°C range amid post-heatwave stabilization. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or residual moisture from Atlantic flow could limit drops and support readings near 19–20°C. Historical July minima average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, though 2026 conditions have featured elevated baselines earlier in the month. Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution, with fresh model runs and guidance updates expected daily through the 29th refining the 40.5% market-implied odds on 15°C or below versus closely matched probabilities around 19–20°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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