Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の東京の最低気温は?
25℃ 55%
26°C 44%
27℃ 3.5%
24℃ 3%
20℃以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
3%
25℃
55%
26°C
44%
27℃
4%
28°C
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 55%
26°C 44%
27℃ 3.5%
24℃ 3%
20℃以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
3%
25℃
55%
26°C
44%
27℃
4%
28°C
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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