Lululemon athletica enters its fiscal second-quarter earnings release with a 99.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus EPS estimates, driven by the company's consistent history of positive surprises and sharply reduced analyst forecasts. Estimates for the period ending July 2026 have fallen to around $1.79 per share from prior-year levels near $3.10, reflecting softer comparable sales and macroeconomic pressures on apparel demand. A one-time $0.86 per share benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, already recognized in cost of goods sold, provides substantial cushion relative to the lowered bar. Traders price in this track record of outperformance alongside conservative guidance, though tail risks such as a larger-than-expected revenue shortfall or downward revisions to full-year outlook could still pressure post-release sentiment despite the EPS beat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日>99% 確率
$4,730 Vol.
$4,730 Vol.
2026/09/03
>99% 確率
$4,730 Vol.
$4,730 Vol.
2026/09/03
As of market creation, lululemon athletica is estimated to release earnings on September 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for lululemon athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.79 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if lululemon athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.79 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Lululemon athletica enters its fiscal second-quarter earnings release with a 99.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus EPS estimates, driven by the company's consistent history of positive surprises and sharply reduced analyst forecasts. Estimates for the period ending July 2026 have fallen to around $1.79 per share from prior-year levels near $3.10, reflecting softer comparable sales and macroeconomic pressures on apparel demand. A one-time $0.86 per share benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, already recognized in cost of goods sold, provides substantial cushion relative to the lowered bar. Traders price in this track record of outperformance alongside conservative guidance, though tail risks such as a larger-than-expected revenue shortfall or downward revisions to full-year outlook could still pressure post-release sentiment despite the EPS beat.
As of market creation, lululemon athletica is estimated to release earnings on September 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for lululemon athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.79 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if lululemon athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.79 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 7:03 AM ET
音量
$4,730終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 7:03 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
As of market creation, lululemon athletica is estimated to release earnings on September 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for lululemon athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.79 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if lululemon athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.79 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Lululemon athletica enters its fiscal second-quarter earnings release with a 99.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus EPS estimates, driven by the company's consistent history of positive surprises and sharply reduced analyst forecasts. Estimates for the period ending July 2026 have fallen to around $1.79 per share from prior-year levels near $3.10, reflecting softer comparable sales and macroeconomic pressures on apparel demand. A one-time $0.86 per share benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, already recognized in cost of goods sold, provides substantial cushion relative to the lowered bar. Traders price in this track record of outperformance alongside conservative guidance, though tail risks such as a larger-than-expected revenue shortfall or downward revisions to full-year outlook could still pressure post-release sentiment despite the EPS beat.
As of market creation, lululemon athletica is estimated to release earnings on September 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for lululemon athletica's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.79 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if lululemon athletica reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.79 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If lululemon athletica releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
音量
$4,730終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 7:03 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Lululemon athletica enters its fiscal second-quarter earnings release with a 99.5% market-implied probability of beating consensus EPS estimates, driven by the company's consistent history of positive surprises and sharply reduced analyst forecasts. Estimates for the period ending July 2026 have fallen to around $1.79 per share from prior-year levels near $3.10, reflecting softer comparable sales and macroeconomic pressures on apparel demand. A one-time $0.86 per share benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, already recognized in cost of goods sold, provides substantial cushion relative to the lowered bar. Traders price in this track record of outperformance alongside conservative guidance, though tail risks such as a larger-than-expected revenue shortfall or downward revisions to full-year outlook could still pressure post-release sentiment despite the EPS beat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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