BJP's landslide victory in the West Bengal state assembly elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold from Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, has significantly strengthened Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position and the NDA coalition government's stability. With no recent no-confidence motions, coalition fissures among allies like TDP or JD(U), or internal party challenges, traders price an 89.2% implied probability that Modi remains in office through December 31, 2026—well before the next Lok Sabha elections in 2029. Recent economic pressures from Middle East oil shocks prompted Modi's May 10 austerity appeals and today's fuel price hikes, but these have not triggered political instability, reinforcing consensus on continuity despite opposition criticism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BJP's landslide victory in the West Bengal state assembly elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold from Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, has significantly strengthened Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position and the NDA coalition government's stability. With no recent no-confidence motions, coalition fissures among allies like TDP or JD(U), or internal party challenges, traders price an 89.2% implied probability that Modi remains in office through December 31, 2026—well before the next Lok Sabha elections in 2029. Recent economic pressures from Middle East oil shocks prompted Modi's May 10 austerity appeals and today's fuel price hikes, but these have not triggered political instability, reinforcing consensus on continuity despite opposition criticism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$32,137終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BJP's landslide victory in the West Bengal state assembly elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold from Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, has significantly strengthened Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position and the NDA coalition government's stability. With no recent no-confidence motions, coalition fissures among allies like TDP or JD(U), or internal party challenges, traders price an 89.2% implied probability that Modi remains in office through December 31, 2026—well before the next Lok Sabha elections in 2029. Recent economic pressures from Middle East oil shocks prompted Modi's May 10 austerity appeals and today's fuel price hikes, but these have not triggered political instability, reinforcing consensus on continuity despite opposition criticism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$32,137終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...BJP's landslide victory in the West Bengal state assembly elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold from Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress, has significantly strengthened Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position and the NDA coalition government's stability. With no recent no-confidence motions, coalition fissures among allies like TDP or JD(U), or internal party challenges, traders price an 89.2% implied probability that Modi remains in office through December 31, 2026—well before the next Lok Sabha elections in 2029. Recent economic pressures from Middle East oil shocks prompted Modi's May 10 austerity appeals and today's fuel price hikes, but these have not triggered political instability, reinforcing consensus on continuity despite opposition criticism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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