Narendra Modi's third term as prime minister, secured by the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, providing the core structural basis for the 91% implied probability he remains in office past December 31, 2026. The BJP retained parliamentary control despite coalition dependencies, with no scheduled national elections or constitutional triggers for early departure before 2029. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister, and opposition calls for Modi's exit, yet these events produced no parliamentary defections, loss of majority, or institutional pressure sufficient to force a transition. Modi's continued public role, including scheduled national addresses, aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent major scandals or coalition collapse.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
9% 確率
$243,864 Vol.
$243,864 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
9% 確率
$243,864 Vol.
$243,864 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as prime minister, secured by the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, providing the core structural basis for the 91% implied probability he remains in office past December 31, 2026. The BJP retained parliamentary control despite coalition dependencies, with no scheduled national elections or constitutional triggers for early departure before 2029. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister, and opposition calls for Modi's exit, yet these events produced no parliamentary defections, loss of majority, or institutional pressure sufficient to force a transition. Modi's continued public role, including scheduled national addresses, aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent major scandals or coalition collapse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$243,864終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as prime minister, secured by the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, providing the core structural basis for the 91% implied probability he remains in office past December 31, 2026. The BJP retained parliamentary control despite coalition dependencies, with no scheduled national elections or constitutional triggers for early departure before 2029. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister, and opposition calls for Modi's exit, yet these events produced no parliamentary defections, loss of majority, or institutional pressure sufficient to force a transition. Modi's continued public role, including scheduled national addresses, aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent major scandals or coalition collapse.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$243,864終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's third term as prime minister, secured by the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, providing the core structural basis for the 91% implied probability he remains in office past December 31, 2026. The BJP retained parliamentary control despite coalition dependencies, with no scheduled national elections or constitutional triggers for early departure before 2029. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister, and opposition calls for Modi's exit, yet these events produced no parliamentary defections, loss of majority, or institutional pressure sufficient to force a transition. Modi's continued public role, including scheduled national addresses, aligns with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent major scandals or coalition collapse.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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