Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming 94.8% implied probability in the Peyton Watson free-agency market after agreeing to a multi-team sign-and-trade that sends the restricted free agent from the Denver Nuggets to Cleveland in exchange for future draft assets and salary relief. Watson, coming off a career-high 14.6 points per game in 2025-26, will sign a four-year, $88 million deal with the Cavaliers that includes a player option and trade kicker, bypassing Denver’s financial constraints under the second apron. Recent reports confirm the expanded five-team framework also routes Max Strus to the Clippers. The only realistic paths to a different outcome involve the deal collapsing over final contract language or league approval, though all credible reporting indicates the agreement is complete and Watson is headed to Cleveland.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Cleveland Cavaliers 96.5%
Denver Nuggets <1%
Detroit Pistons <1%
Milwaukee Bucks <1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
96%
Denver Nuggets
1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 96.5%
Denver Nuggets <1%
Detroit Pistons <1%
Milwaukee Bucks <1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
96%
Denver Nuggets
1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
If Peyton Watson does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Peyton Watson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Peyton Watson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Peyton Watson does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Peyton Watson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Peyton Watson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming 94.8% implied probability in the Peyton Watson free-agency market after agreeing to a multi-team sign-and-trade that sends the restricted free agent from the Denver Nuggets to Cleveland in exchange for future draft assets and salary relief. Watson, coming off a career-high 14.6 points per game in 2025-26, will sign a four-year, $88 million deal with the Cavaliers that includes a player option and trade kicker, bypassing Denver’s financial constraints under the second apron. Recent reports confirm the expanded five-team framework also routes Max Strus to the Clippers. The only realistic paths to a different outcome involve the deal collapsing over final contract language or league approval, though all credible reporting indicates the agreement is complete and Watson is headed to Cleveland.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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