LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日July 3 100%
July 7 or after 50%
July 4 23%
July 6 23%
July 2
2%
July 3
100%
July 4
23%
July 5
21%
July 6
43%
July 7 or after
50%
July 3 100%
July 7 or after 50%
July 4 23%
July 6 23%
July 2
2%
July 3
100%
July 4
23%
July 5
21%
July 6
43%
July 7 or after
50%
If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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