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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 29%

No Bond chosen 20.3%

Josh O'Connor 12.2%

Michael B Jordan 11.8%

Polymarket

$18,881 Vol.

Callum Turner 29%

No Bond chosen 20.3%

Josh O'Connor 12.2%

Michael B Jordan 11.8%

Polymarket

$18,881 Vol.

Callum Turner

$2,285 Vol.

29%

No Bond chosen

$6,197 Vol.

20%

Josh O'Connor

$1,944 Vol.

12%

Michael B Jordan

$404 Vol.

12%

James Norton

$400 Vol.

10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$2,716 Vol.

10%

Pierce Brosnan

$351 Vol.

9%

Timothee Chalamet

$380 Vol.

9%

Tom Hardy

$325 Vol.

8%

Jacob Elordi

$836 Vol.

13%

Jack Lowdon

$347 Vol.

25%

Paul Mescal

$645 Vol.

23%

Tom Holland

$684 Vol.

3%

Robert James-Collier

$303 Vol.

24%

Henry Cavill

$279 Vol.

1%

Theo James

$410 Vol.

14%

Harris Dickinson

$376 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing James Bond casting process, now in its final stages ahead of August screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve, explains the tightly clustered market odds among British and UK-adjacent actors. Callum Turner’s press momentum as the perceived frontrunner stems from his charismatic leading-man turns in prestige projects, yet the field remains wide open because producers seek a multi-film commitment from someone in their 30s with the right mix of gravitas and box-office draw. Close probabilities for Jack Lowdon, Paul Mescal, and others reflect similar profiles—strong critical reception, recent high-profile roles, and historical precedent for casting relative unknowns—while lower odds on stars like Jacob Elordi or Aaron Taylor-Johnson highlight age, nationality, or scheduling concerns. The lack of guild or precursor signals keeps sentiment fluid until official confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,881
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing James Bond casting process, now in its final stages ahead of August screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve, explains the tightly clustered market odds among British and UK-adjacent actors. Callum Turner’s press momentum as the perceived frontrunner stems from his charismatic leading-man turns in prestige projects, yet the field remains wide open because producers seek a multi-film commitment from someone in their 30s with the right mix of gravitas and box-office draw. Close probabilities for Jack Lowdon, Paul Mescal, and others reflect similar profiles—strong critical reception, recent high-profile roles, and historical precedent for casting relative unknowns—while lower odds on stars like Jacob Elordi or Aaron Taylor-Johnson highlight age, nationality, or scheduling concerns. The lack of guild or precursor signals keeps sentiment fluid until official confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,881
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next James Bond actor?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Callum Turner」で28%、次いで「Jack Lowdon」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next James Bond actor?」は$18.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 18, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next James Bond actor?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next James Bond actor?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Callum Turner」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jack Lowdon」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next James Bond actor?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。