Netflix shares closed September 4 at $78.25 after a 5.35% drop driven by UK price increases and elevated Treasury yields pressuring growth multiples, despite Q2 2026 revenue of $12.56 billion (up 13.4% year-over-year) and narrowed full-year guidance of 13-14% growth with advertising revenue on track to reach $3 billion. The stock trades near the lower end of its $65.08–$126.71 52-week range, with consensus analyst targets near $93–$96 reflecting expectations for sustained ARPU gains and free-cash-flow expansion. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of major near-term catalysts before the October 20 earnings release, underpin the 71.5% market-implied probability for a $70–$80 close the week of September 7, while higher-rate sensitivity and valuation compression explain the dispersion across adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$110～$120 93%
30～40ドル 85%
$70〜$80 72%
$60～$70 37%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
30ドル未満
1%
30～40ドル
85%
40～50ドル
-
50ドル～60ドル
17%
$60～$70
37%
$70〜$80
72%
80～90ドル
26%
90～100ドル
37%
$100〜$110
25%
$110～$120
93%
120ドル超
1%
$110～$120 93%
30～40ドル 85%
$70〜$80 72%
$60～$70 37%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
30ドル未満
$74 Vol.
1%
30～40ドル
$29 Vol.
85%
40～50ドル
$29 Vol.
-
50ドル～60ドル
$11 Vol.
17%
$60～$70
$11 Vol.
37%
$70〜$80
$11 Vol.
72%
80～90ドル
$11 Vol.
26%
90～100ドル
$11 Vol.
37%
$100〜$110
$11 Vol.
25%
$110～$120
$29 Vol.
93%
120ドル超
$129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.Netflix shares closed September 4 at $78.25 after a 5.35% drop driven by UK price increases and elevated Treasury yields pressuring growth multiples, despite Q2 2026 revenue of $12.56 billion (up 13.4% year-over-year) and narrowed full-year guidance of 13-14% growth with advertising revenue on track to reach $3 billion. The stock trades near the lower end of its $65.08–$126.71 52-week range, with consensus analyst targets near $93–$96 reflecting expectations for sustained ARPU gains and free-cash-flow expansion. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of major near-term catalysts before the October 20 earnings release, underpin the 71.5% market-implied probability for a $70–$80 close the week of September 7, while higher-rate sensitivity and valuation compression explain the dispersion across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$353終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.Netflix shares closed September 4 at $78.25 after a 5.35% drop driven by UK price increases and elevated Treasury yields pressuring growth multiples, despite Q2 2026 revenue of $12.56 billion (up 13.4% year-over-year) and narrowed full-year guidance of 13-14% growth with advertising revenue on track to reach $3 billion. The stock trades near the lower end of its $65.08–$126.71 52-week range, with consensus analyst targets near $93–$96 reflecting expectations for sustained ARPU gains and free-cash-flow expansion. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of major near-term catalysts before the October 20 earnings release, underpin the 71.5% market-implied probability for a $70–$80 close the week of September 7, while higher-rate sensitivity and valuation compression explain the dispersion across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
音量
$353終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETNetflix shares closed September 4 at $78.25 after a 5.35% drop driven by UK price increases and elevated Treasury yields pressuring growth multiples, despite Q2 2026 revenue of $12.56 billion (up 13.4% year-over-year) and narrowed full-year guidance of 13-14% growth with advertising revenue on track to reach $3 billion. The stock trades near the lower end of its $65.08–$126.71 52-week range, with consensus analyst targets near $93–$96 reflecting expectations for sustained ARPU gains and free-cash-flow expansion. These fundamentals, combined with the absence of major near-term catalysts before the October 20 earnings release, underpin the 71.5% market-implied probability for a $70–$80 close the week of September 7, while higher-rate sensitivity and valuation compression explain the dispersion across adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問