Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas that installed acting president Delcy Rodríguez. He and his wife face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court, with ongoing detention at facilities such as the Metropolitan Detention Center and no scheduled release date. Recent developments include continued pressure from the interim Venezuelan government for prisoner amnesties and diplomatic overtures, alongside public calls from Maduro’s supporters for his return, yet U.S. legal processes and extradition considerations have produced no confirmed breakthroughs. Traders weigh these extended judicial timelines, potential plea negotiations, and shifting bilateral relations against historical precedents for high-profile foreign leader cases, where resolutions often span years absent sudden political shifts or health events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,631,355 Vol.
2026/01/31
12月31日
14%
$2,631,355 Vol.
12月31日
$235,906 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas that installed acting president Delcy Rodríguez. He and his wife face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court, with ongoing detention at facilities such as the Metropolitan Detention Center and no scheduled release date. Recent developments include continued pressure from the interim Venezuelan government for prisoner amnesties and diplomatic overtures, alongside public calls from Maduro’s supporters for his return, yet U.S. legal processes and extradition considerations have produced no confirmed breakthroughs. Traders weigh these extended judicial timelines, potential plea negotiations, and shifting bilateral relations against historical precedents for high-profile foreign leader cases, where resolutions often span years absent sudden political shifts or health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$2,631,355終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas that installed acting president Delcy Rodríguez. He and his wife face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court, with ongoing detention at facilities such as the Metropolitan Detention Center and no scheduled release date. Recent developments include continued pressure from the interim Venezuelan government for prisoner amnesties and diplomatic overtures, alongside public calls from Maduro’s supporters for his return, yet U.S. legal processes and extradition considerations have produced no confirmed breakthroughs. Traders weigh these extended judicial timelines, potential plea negotiations, and shifting bilateral relations against historical precedents for high-profile foreign leader cases, where resolutions often span years absent sudden political shifts or health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,631,355終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas that installed acting president Delcy Rodríguez. He and his wife face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court, with ongoing detention at facilities such as the Metropolitan Detention Center and no scheduled release date. Recent developments include continued pressure from the interim Venezuelan government for prisoner amnesties and diplomatic overtures, alongside public calls from Maduro’s supporters for his return, yet U.S. legal processes and extradition considerations have produced no confirmed breakthroughs. Traders weigh these extended judicial timelines, potential plea negotiations, and shifting bilateral relations against historical precedents for high-profile foreign leader cases, where resolutions often span years absent sudden political shifts or health events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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