Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader assessments of Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January 2026 after Nicolás Maduro’s removal and has since consolidated control through Supreme Tribunal appointments, military endorsement, and institutional continuity. Recent diplomatic normalization with the United States, including oil-sector agreements and her planned UN General Assembly engagement, has reinforced this position while sidelining opposition figures such as María Corina Machado from core transition talks. The consensus implied by current pricing reflects her effective executive authority and the absence of scheduled elections or major institutional challenges within the resolution window. Shifts could arise from accelerated electoral timelines, renewed opposition mobilization, or changes in external diplomatic pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日デルシー・ロドリゲス 95%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 3.9%
マルコ・ルビオ <1%
国家元首なし <1%
$393,169 Vol.
$393,169 Vol.
2026/12/30
デルシー・ロドリゲス
95%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
1%
国家元首なし
1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
エヴァン・ペタス
<1%
ピート・ヘグセット
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 95%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 3.9%
マルコ・ルビオ <1%
国家元首なし <1%
$393,169 Vol.
$393,169 Vol.
2026/12/30
デルシー・ロドリゲス
$106,583 Vol.
95%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
$53,452 Vol.
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
$6,523 Vol.
1%
国家元首なし
$67,154 Vol.
1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ
$4,581 Vol.
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
$8,389 Vol.
<1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
$4,123 Vol.
<1%
ダン・ケイン
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
$42,216 Vol.
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$4,407 Vol.
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
$2,926 Vol.
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
$68,170 Vol.
<1%
エヴァン・ペタス
$7,309 Vol.
<1%
ピート・ヘグセット
$3,037 Vol.
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
$7,378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader assessments of Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January 2026 after Nicolás Maduro’s removal and has since consolidated control through Supreme Tribunal appointments, military endorsement, and institutional continuity. Recent diplomatic normalization with the United States, including oil-sector agreements and her planned UN General Assembly engagement, has reinforced this position while sidelining opposition figures such as María Corina Machado from core transition talks. The consensus implied by current pricing reflects her effective executive authority and the absence of scheduled elections or major institutional challenges within the resolution window. Shifts could arise from accelerated electoral timelines, renewed opposition mobilization, or changes in external diplomatic pressure.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$393,169終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader assessments of Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January 2026 after Nicolás Maduro’s removal and has since consolidated control through Supreme Tribunal appointments, military endorsement, and institutional continuity. Recent diplomatic normalization with the United States, including oil-sector agreements and her planned UN General Assembly engagement, has reinforced this position while sidelining opposition figures such as María Corina Machado from core transition talks. The consensus implied by current pricing reflects her effective executive authority and the absence of scheduled elections or major institutional challenges within the resolution window. Shifts could arise from accelerated electoral timelines, renewed opposition mobilization, or changes in external diplomatic pressure.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
音量
$393,169終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader assessments of Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 because she assumed the interim presidency in January 2026 after Nicolás Maduro’s removal and has since consolidated control through Supreme Tribunal appointments, military endorsement, and institutional continuity. Recent diplomatic normalization with the United States, including oil-sector agreements and her planned UN General Assembly engagement, has reinforced this position while sidelining opposition figures such as María Corina Machado from core transition talks. The consensus implied by current pricing reflects her effective executive authority and the absence of scheduled elections or major institutional challenges within the resolution window. Shifts could arise from accelerated electoral timelines, renewed opposition mobilization, or changes in external diplomatic pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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