Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in this market due to her appointment as acting president in January 2026 by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated control by replacing key military commanders, enacting an amnesty law, releasing some political prisoners, and advancing major oil sector agreements with the Trump administration that include U.S. access to reserves. These steps, paired with restored diplomatic ties and explicit U.S. backing over exiled opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, have entrenched her de facto authority through the end of the year. Trader consensus reflects the absence of scheduled elections or viable institutional challenges before December 2026. Shifts could occur from a sudden loss of U.S. support, internal security force fractures, or rapid opposition mobilization if transition talks accelerate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日デルシー・ロドリゲス 94%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 3.7%
マルコ・ルビオ <1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ <1%
$390,218 Vol.
$390,218 Vol.
2026/12/30
デルシー・ロドリゲス
94%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ
1%
国家元首なし
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
<1%
エヴァン・ペタス
<1%
ダン・ケイン
<1%
ピート・ヘグセット
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
<1%
デルシー・ロドリゲス 94%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド 3.7%
マルコ・ルビオ <1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ <1%
$390,218 Vol.
$390,218 Vol.
2026/12/30
デルシー・ロドリゲス
$103,949 Vol.
94%
マリア・コリナ・マチャド
$53,364 Vol.
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
$6,388 Vol.
1%
ディノラ・フィゲラ
$4,570 Vol.
1%
国家元首なし
$67,143 Vol.
1%
エドムンド・ゴンサレス
$4,123 Vol.
<1%
ホルヘ・ロドリゲス
$8,379 Vol.
<1%
ニコラス・マドゥロ
$4,407 Vol.
<1%
ディオスダド・カベジョ・ロンドン
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
ドナルド・トランプ
$2,916 Vol.
<1%
ウラジミール・パドリーノ・ロペス
$68,170 Vol.
<1%
エヴァン・ペタス
$7,309 Vol.
<1%
ダン・ケイン
$3,345 Vol.
<1%
ピート・ヘグセット
$2,987 Vol.
<1%
リチャード・グレネル
$7,378 Vol.
<1%
フランク・ドノバン
$42,216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in this market due to her appointment as acting president in January 2026 by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated control by replacing key military commanders, enacting an amnesty law, releasing some political prisoners, and advancing major oil sector agreements with the Trump administration that include U.S. access to reserves. These steps, paired with restored diplomatic ties and explicit U.S. backing over exiled opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, have entrenched her de facto authority through the end of the year. Trader consensus reflects the absence of scheduled elections or viable institutional challenges before December 2026. Shifts could occur from a sudden loss of U.S. support, internal security force fractures, or rapid opposition mobilization if transition talks accelerate.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$390,218終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in this market due to her appointment as acting president in January 2026 by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated control by replacing key military commanders, enacting an amnesty law, releasing some political prisoners, and advancing major oil sector agreements with the Trump administration that include U.S. access to reserves. These steps, paired with restored diplomatic ties and explicit U.S. backing over exiled opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, have entrenched her de facto authority through the end of the year. Trader consensus reflects the absence of scheduled elections or viable institutional challenges before December 2026. Shifts could occur from a sudden loss of U.S. support, internal security force fractures, or rapid opposition mobilization if transition talks accelerate.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
音量
$390,218終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in this market due to her appointment as acting president in January 2026 by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated control by replacing key military commanders, enacting an amnesty law, releasing some political prisoners, and advancing major oil sector agreements with the Trump administration that include U.S. access to reserves. These steps, paired with restored diplomatic ties and explicit U.S. backing over exiled opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, have entrenched her de facto authority through the end of the year. Trader consensus reflects the absence of scheduled elections or viable institutional challenges before December 2026. Shifts could occur from a sudden loss of U.S. support, internal security force fractures, or rapid opposition mobilization if transition talks accelerate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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