Nvidia’s clustered market-implied odds around $5–6.5 trillion reflect sustained AI infrastructure demand following its latest fiscal second-quarter results of roughly $96 billion in revenue, more than doubling year-over-year, with management guiding for about 70 percent revenue growth into fiscal 2028. Traders weigh Nvidia’s continued data-center GPU dominance and ecosystem advantages against intensifying competition from AMD’s MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs via Broadcom, and Huawei’s accelerated Ascend roadmap amid U.S. export controls. Recent executive commentary on trillion-dollar AI spending by 2030 and new platform expansions support the tight distribution, while upcoming catalysts include the next earnings report and Blackwell-to-Rubin transition milestones that could shift sentiment on growth sustainability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5.50～6.00兆ドル 19%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 18%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル 18%
6.5兆ドル以上 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
6%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
9%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
15%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
18%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
19%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
18%
6.5兆ドル以上
16%
5.50～6.00兆ドル 19%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル 18%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル 18%
6.5兆ドル以上 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
2026/12/31
4兆ドル未満
$3,033 Vol.
6%
4.00兆〜4.50兆ドル
$904 Vol.
9%
4.50〜5.00兆ドル
$923 Vol.
15%
5.00〜5.50兆ドル
$2,174 Vol.
18%
5.50～6.00兆ドル
$3,407 Vol.
19%
6.00〜6.50兆ドル
$1,297 Vol.
18%
6.5兆ドル以上
$1,699 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s clustered market-implied odds around $5–6.5 trillion reflect sustained AI infrastructure demand following its latest fiscal second-quarter results of roughly $96 billion in revenue, more than doubling year-over-year, with management guiding for about 70 percent revenue growth into fiscal 2028. Traders weigh Nvidia’s continued data-center GPU dominance and ecosystem advantages against intensifying competition from AMD’s MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs via Broadcom, and Huawei’s accelerated Ascend roadmap amid U.S. export controls. Recent executive commentary on trillion-dollar AI spending by 2030 and new platform expansions support the tight distribution, while upcoming catalysts include the next earnings report and Blackwell-to-Rubin transition milestones that could shift sentiment on growth sustainability.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
音量
$13,437終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s clustered market-implied odds around $5–6.5 trillion reflect sustained AI infrastructure demand following its latest fiscal second-quarter results of roughly $96 billion in revenue, more than doubling year-over-year, with management guiding for about 70 percent revenue growth into fiscal 2028. Traders weigh Nvidia’s continued data-center GPU dominance and ecosystem advantages against intensifying competition from AMD’s MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs via Broadcom, and Huawei’s accelerated Ascend roadmap amid U.S. export controls. Recent executive commentary on trillion-dollar AI spending by 2030 and new platform expansions support the tight distribution, while upcoming catalysts include the next earnings report and Blackwell-to-Rubin transition milestones that could shift sentiment on growth sustainability.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
音量
$13,437終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s clustered market-implied odds around $5–6.5 trillion reflect sustained AI infrastructure demand following its latest fiscal second-quarter results of roughly $96 billion in revenue, more than doubling year-over-year, with management guiding for about 70 percent revenue growth into fiscal 2028. Traders weigh Nvidia’s continued data-center GPU dominance and ecosystem advantages against intensifying competition from AMD’s MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs via Broadcom, and Huawei’s accelerated Ascend roadmap amid U.S. export controls. Recent executive commentary on trillion-dollar AI spending by 2030 and new platform expansions support the tight distribution, while upcoming catalysts include the next earnings report and Blackwell-to-Rubin transition milestones that could shift sentiment on growth sustainability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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