Sherrod Brown's established statewide profile as a three-term former senator, combined with consistent narrow leads in recent polling aggregates around 47-48 percent to Jon Husted's 42-45 percent, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Husted, appointed to the seat in early 2025 after J.D. Vance's transition, benefits from Republican incumbency in a state that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior presidential contest, yet faces headwinds from Brown's stronger fundraising totals and union support. Heavy outside spending, including recent Republican ad campaigns exceeding $14 million in the past week, aims to close the gap ahead of the November 3 special election, though Democratic momentum in this midterm environment has held Brown's implied probability steady near the provided levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$665,096 Vol.
$665,096 Vol.
2026/11/02
シェロッド・ブラウン（民主党）
62%
ジョン・ヒューステッド（共和党）
39%
$665,096 Vol.
$665,096 Vol.
2026/11/02
シェロッド・ブラウン（民主党）
$372,909 Vol.
62%
ジョン・ヒューステッド（共和党）
$292,188 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Sherrod Brown's established statewide profile as a three-term former senator, combined with consistent narrow leads in recent polling aggregates around 47-48 percent to Jon Husted's 42-45 percent, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Husted, appointed to the seat in early 2025 after J.D. Vance's transition, benefits from Republican incumbency in a state that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior presidential contest, yet faces headwinds from Brown's stronger fundraising totals and union support. Heavy outside spending, including recent Republican ad campaigns exceeding $14 million in the past week, aims to close the gap ahead of the November 3 special election, though Democratic momentum in this midterm environment has held Brown's implied probability steady near the provided levels.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
音量
$665,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Sherrod Brown's established statewide profile as a three-term former senator, combined with consistent narrow leads in recent polling aggregates around 47-48 percent to Jon Husted's 42-45 percent, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Husted, appointed to the seat in early 2025 after J.D. Vance's transition, benefits from Republican incumbency in a state that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior presidential contest, yet faces headwinds from Brown's stronger fundraising totals and union support. Heavy outside spending, including recent Republican ad campaigns exceeding $14 million in the past week, aims to close the gap ahead of the November 3 special election, though Democratic momentum in this midterm environment has held Brown's implied probability steady near the provided levels.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$665,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Sherrod Brown's established statewide profile as a three-term former senator, combined with consistent narrow leads in recent polling aggregates around 47-48 percent to Jon Husted's 42-45 percent, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Husted, appointed to the seat in early 2025 after J.D. Vance's transition, benefits from Republican incumbency in a state that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior presidential contest, yet faces headwinds from Brown's stronger fundraising totals and union support. Heavy outside spending, including recent Republican ad campaigns exceeding $14 million in the past week, aims to close the gap ahead of the November 3 special election, though Democratic momentum in this midterm environment has held Brown's implied probability steady near the provided levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問