Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” released in July 2026 to strong early screenings and commercial performance, anchors trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability by extending his recent awards momentum. The broader field remains fluid, with multiple names clustered near 50% reflecting limited confirmed 2026 projects and the typical early-season uncertainty before fall festival premieres lock in narratives. Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three,” due later this year, sits at 22% as the clearest scale-based rival, while Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” draw support from recent Toronto buzz and guild-adjacent predictors. Upcoming TIFF outcomes, December releases, and early 2027 guild nominations will likely sharpen differentiation ahead of nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
クリストファー・ノーラン 60%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 22%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 7%
マーティン・マクドナー 6.0%
$20,626 Vol.
$20,626 Vol.
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
60%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
22%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
7%
マーティン・マクドナー
6%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
6%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
5%
アーロン・ソーキン
4%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
2%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
2%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
1%
ピーター・ファレリー
1%
ランス・オッペンハイム
1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
1%
バッサム・タリク
<1%
クリストファー・ノーラン 60%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 22%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 7%
マーティン・マクドナー 6.0%
$20,626 Vol.
$20,626 Vol.
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
$15,376 Vol.
60%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
$845 Vol.
22%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
$1,574 Vol.
7%
マーティン・マクドナー
$278 Vol.
6%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
$214 Vol.
6%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
$220 Vol.
5%
アーロン・ソーキン
$176 Vol.
4%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
$161 Vol.
2%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
$242 Vol.
2%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
$230 Vol.
1%
ピーター・ファレリー
$185 Vol.
1%
ランス・オッペンハイム
$700 Vol.
1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
$236 Vol.
1%
バッサム・タリク
$188 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” released in July 2026 to strong early screenings and commercial performance, anchors trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability by extending his recent awards momentum. The broader field remains fluid, with multiple names clustered near 50% reflecting limited confirmed 2026 projects and the typical early-season uncertainty before fall festival premieres lock in narratives. Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three,” due later this year, sits at 22% as the clearest scale-based rival, while Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” draw support from recent Toronto buzz and guild-adjacent predictors. Upcoming TIFF outcomes, December releases, and early 2027 guild nominations will likely sharpen differentiation ahead of nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$20,626終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” released in July 2026 to strong early screenings and commercial performance, anchors trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability by extending his recent awards momentum. The broader field remains fluid, with multiple names clustered near 50% reflecting limited confirmed 2026 projects and the typical early-season uncertainty before fall festival premieres lock in narratives. Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three,” due later this year, sits at 22% as the clearest scale-based rival, while Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” draw support from recent Toronto buzz and guild-adjacent predictors. Upcoming TIFF outcomes, December releases, and early 2027 guild nominations will likely sharpen differentiation ahead of nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,626終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” released in July 2026 to strong early screenings and commercial performance, anchors trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability by extending his recent awards momentum. The broader field remains fluid, with multiple names clustered near 50% reflecting limited confirmed 2026 projects and the typical early-season uncertainty before fall festival premieres lock in narratives. Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three,” due later this year, sits at 22% as the clearest scale-based rival, while Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” draw support from recent Toronto buzz and guild-adjacent predictors. Upcoming TIFF outcomes, December releases, and early 2027 guild nominations will likely sharpen differentiation ahead of nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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