Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” drives current trader sentiment, with its 54.5% market-implied odds reflecting strong early critical reception, Academy screening buzz, and Nolan’s post-Oppenheimer momentum for a potential second directing win. The crowded field—many names implied near 50%—highlights an early, fluid 2027 race where films like “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” and “Project Hail Mary” compete on critical consensus, box-office tracking, and guild precursor signals. Key differentiators include release timing, genre appeal, and historical voting patterns favoring established auteurs with technical ambition. Fall festival debuts and guild nominations will likely sharpen the field before the March ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 :最優秀監督賞受賞
クリストファー・ノーラン 57%
ランス・オッペンハイム 19%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 9%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 9%
クリストファー・ノーラン
57%
ランス・オッペンハイム
19%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
9%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
9%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
9%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
7%
バッサム・タリク
7%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
7%
マーティン・マクドナー
5%
アーロン・ソーキン
4%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
4%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
4%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
4%
ピーター・ファレリー
9%
クリストファー・ノーラン 57%
ランス・オッペンハイム 19%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 9%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 9%
クリストファー・ノーラン
57%
ランス・オッペンハイム
19%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
9%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
9%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
9%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
7%
バッサム・タリク
7%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
7%
マーティン・マクドナー
5%
アーロン・ソーキン
4%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
4%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
4%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
4%
ピーター・ファレリー
9%
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” drives current trader sentiment, with its 54.5% market-implied odds reflecting strong early critical reception, Academy screening buzz, and Nolan’s post-Oppenheimer momentum for a potential second directing win. The crowded field—many names implied near 50%—highlights an early, fluid 2027 race where films like “Dune: Part Three,” “Wild Horse Nine,” and “Project Hail Mary” compete on critical consensus, box-office tracking, and guild precursor signals. Key differentiators include release timing, genre appeal, and historical voting patterns favoring established auteurs with technical ambition. Fall festival debuts and guild nominations will likely sharpen the field before the March ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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