The Odyssey’s early July 2026 release and subsequent Academy screenings have established it as the clear market leader at 49.5% implied probability, fueled by strong box-office results, critical praise for its IMAX-scale visuals, and enthusiastic voter feedback positioning Christopher Nolan as the season’s dominant filmmaker. Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% as the anticipated December franchise finale from Denis Villeneuve, while lower-priced contenders such as Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and Digger await fall releases and guild precursor results that typically shape Best Picture momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the advantage of an already-screened, commercially validated auteur project against later-arriving competition in a wide-open field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：ベストピクチャーウィナー
オスカー2027 ：ベストピクチャーウィナー
オデュッセイア 50%
デューン パート3 16%
ワイルドホース・ナイン 9%
ディガー 8%
$24,165 Vol.
$24,165 Vol.
2027/03/14
オデュッセイア
50%
デューン パート3
16%
ワイルドホース・ナイン
9%
ディガー
8%
フィヨルド
8%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
7%
クリフ・ブースの冒険
4%
ジョセフィン
4%
マイケル
4%
ディスクロージャー・デイ
3%
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
3%
ザ・ドラマ
1%
ファーザーランド
1%
突然ですが
1%
ベヒモス！
1%
ソーシャル・レコニング
1%
サターン・リターン
1%
クラリッサ
1%
トニー
1%
オデュッセイア 50%
デューン パート3 16%
ワイルドホース・ナイン 9%
ディガー 8%
$24,165 Vol.
$24,165 Vol.
2027/03/14
オデュッセイア
$16,927 Vol.
50%
デューン パート3
$2,481 Vol.
16%
ワイルドホース・ナイン
$2,177 Vol.
9%
ディガー
$978 Vol.
8%
フィヨルド
$1,233 Vol.
8%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
$144 Vol.
7%
クリフ・ブースの冒険
$30 Vol.
4%
ジョセフィン
$30 Vol.
4%
マイケル
$60 Vol.
4%
ディスクロージャー・デイ
$30 Vol.
3%
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
$35 Vol.
3%
ザ・ドラマ
$5 Vol.
1%
ファーザーランド
$5 Vol.
1%
突然ですが
$5 Vol.
1%
ベヒモス！
$5 Vol.
1%
ソーシャル・レコニング
$5 Vol.
1%
サターン・リターン
$5 Vol.
1%
クラリッサ
$5 Vol.
1%
トニー
$5 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s early July 2026 release and subsequent Academy screenings have established it as the clear market leader at 49.5% implied probability, fueled by strong box-office results, critical praise for its IMAX-scale visuals, and enthusiastic voter feedback positioning Christopher Nolan as the season’s dominant filmmaker. Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% as the anticipated December franchise finale from Denis Villeneuve, while lower-priced contenders such as Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and Digger await fall releases and guild precursor results that typically shape Best Picture momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the advantage of an already-screened, commercially validated auteur project against later-arriving competition in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
音量
$24,165終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s early July 2026 release and subsequent Academy screenings have established it as the clear market leader at 49.5% implied probability, fueled by strong box-office results, critical praise for its IMAX-scale visuals, and enthusiastic voter feedback positioning Christopher Nolan as the season’s dominant filmmaker. Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% as the anticipated December franchise finale from Denis Villeneuve, while lower-priced contenders such as Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and Digger await fall releases and guild precursor results that typically shape Best Picture momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the advantage of an already-screened, commercially validated auteur project against later-arriving competition in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,165終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey’s early July 2026 release and subsequent Academy screenings have established it as the clear market leader at 49.5% implied probability, fueled by strong box-office results, critical praise for its IMAX-scale visuals, and enthusiastic voter feedback positioning Christopher Nolan as the season’s dominant filmmaker. Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% as the anticipated December franchise finale from Denis Villeneuve, while lower-priced contenders such as Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and Digger await fall releases and guild precursor results that typically shape Best Picture momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the advantage of an already-screened, commercially validated auteur project against later-arriving competition in a wide-open field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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