Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe holds the clearest path to victory in Ottawa’s October 2026 mayoral election, with traders assigning him a 71.5 percent implied probability. His structural advantages include name recognition, access to city resources, and a decision to delay formal nomination filing while rivals began registering on the first possible date in early May. Jeff Leiper, the leading challenger at 20.5 percent, benefits from early campaign activity and city-council experience, yet faces a still-fragmented field that includes Neil Saravanamuttoo, Alex Lawson, and Catherine McKenney. Recent polling shows mixed approval ratings for Sutcliffe on transit and housing but maintains his lead among decided voters, reinforcing the market’s assessment that no single opponent has consolidated support to close the gap before the fall campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・サトクリフ 72%
ジェフ・ライパー 21%
アレックス・ローソン 2.5%
ニール・サラバナムットゥ 1.9%
$22,363 Vol.
$22,363 Vol.
マーク・サトクリフ
72%
ジェフ・ライパー
21%
アレックス・ローソン
2%
ニール・サラバナムットゥ
2%
キャサリン・マッケニー
<1%
マーク・サトクリフ 72%
ジェフ・ライパー 21%
アレックス・ローソン 2.5%
ニール・サラバナムットゥ 1.9%
$22,363 Vol.
$22,363 Vol.
マーク・サトクリフ
72%
ジェフ・ライパー
21%
アレックス・ローソン
2%
ニール・サラバナムットゥ
2%
キャサリン・マッケニー
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe holds the clearest path to victory in Ottawa’s October 2026 mayoral election, with traders assigning him a 71.5 percent implied probability. His structural advantages include name recognition, access to city resources, and a decision to delay formal nomination filing while rivals began registering on the first possible date in early May. Jeff Leiper, the leading challenger at 20.5 percent, benefits from early campaign activity and city-council experience, yet faces a still-fragmented field that includes Neil Saravanamuttoo, Alex Lawson, and Catherine McKenney. Recent polling shows mixed approval ratings for Sutcliffe on transit and housing but maintains his lead among decided voters, reinforcing the market’s assessment that no single opponent has consolidated support to close the gap before the fall campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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