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icon for トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?

トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?

icon for トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?

トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?

44% 確率
Polymarket
新規
44% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s public remarks questioning the value of $1,000 tickets for the U.S. men’s national team’s June 12 World Cup opener against Paraguay in Los Angeles have shaped trader views on attendance. No official schedule or White House confirmation has placed the president at SoFi Stadium for that match, even as a federal task force coordinates tournament security and logistics. His comments emphasized affordability for supporters and expressed personal reluctance to pay premium prices, while recent focus has remained on broader preparations, visa policies, and related diplomatic events rather than game-day commitments. These factors have kept the implied probability of non-attendance slightly above even, reflecting the absence of any announced plans or last-minute signals that would shift consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match.

If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$4,449
終了日
2026/07/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s public remarks questioning the value of $1,000 tickets for the U.S. men’s national team’s June 12 World Cup opener against Paraguay in Los Angeles have shaped trader views on attendance. No official schedule or White House confirmation has placed the president at SoFi Stadium for that match, even as a federal task force coordinates tournament security and logistics. His comments emphasized affordability for supporters and expressed personal reluctance to pay premium prices, while recent focus has remained on broader preparations, visa policies, and related diplomatic events rather than game-day commitments. These factors have kept the implied probability of non-attendance slightly above even, reflecting the absence of any announced plans or last-minute signals that would shift consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match.

If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$4,449
終了日
2026/07/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the United States' first match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the United States' first match is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して44%です。例えば、「はい」が44¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を44%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して44%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を44%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「トランプ大統領は米国のオープニングマッチに出席しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。