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icon for ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?

ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?

icon for ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?

ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?

$842,729 Vol.

2026/12/30
Polymarket

$842,729 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$320,414 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political deadlock centers on Ilie Bolojan's status as caretaker prime minister following the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended his pro-EU coalition after just 10 months. The 281-4 parliamentary majority reflected the Social Democratic Party's withdrawal from the four-party government amid disputes over austerity measures tied to EU recovery funds, followed by alignment with far-right opposition to force the ouster. Since then, efforts to install a replacement have stalled amid coalition negotiations and party fractures, leaving Bolojan's interim administration with limited powers. Parliament's summer recess and the August 31 deadline for key legislation tied to roughly €8.5 billion in EU disbursements add pressure, while constitutional rules allow new elections if no government forms within 60 days of two failed investiture attempts. Trader sentiment tracks these formation timelines and legislative risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$842,729
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political deadlock centers on Ilie Bolojan's status as caretaker prime minister following the May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote that ended his pro-EU coalition after just 10 months. The 281-4 parliamentary majority reflected the Social Democratic Party's withdrawal from the four-party government amid disputes over austerity measures tied to EU recovery funds, followed by alignment with far-right opposition to force the ouster. Since then, efforts to install a replacement have stalled amid coalition negotiations and party fractures, leaving Bolojan's interim administration with limited powers. Parliament's summer recess and the August 31 deadline for key legislation tied to roughly €8.5 billion in EU disbursements add pressure, while constitutional rules allow new elections if no government forms within 60 days of two failed investiture attempts. Trader sentiment tracks these formation timelines and legislative risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$842,729
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で87%、次いで「5月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?」は$842.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相は... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。