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icon for 上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン
政治·選挙

上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン

icon for 上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン
政治·選挙

上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン

民主党全勝 46%

テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主） 20%

民主党：テキサス・メイン、共和党：ミシガン 19%

共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン 13%

Polymarket
新規

民主党全勝 46%

テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主） 20%

民主党：テキサス・メイン、共和党：ミシガン 19%

共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン 13%

Polymarket
新規

民主党全勝

$43 Vol.

46%

テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主）

$24 Vol.

20%

民主党：テキサス・メイン、共和党：ミシガン

$46 Vol.

19%

共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン

$45 Vol.

13%

共和党が全勝

$24 Vol.

10%

テキサス州民主党、ミシガン州・メイン州共和党

$44 Vol.

5%

民主党 テキサス＆ミシガン、共和党 メイン

$21 Vol.

5%

共和党 テキサス＆メイン、民主党 ミシガン

$51 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. The three Senate contests remain tight toss-ups, with recent polls in Michigan showing Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers within a few points, Troy Jackson holding a slim edge over Susan Collins in Maine, and James Talarico staying competitive against Ken Paxton in Texas. These narrow margins, combined with an open seat in Michigan and the vulnerability of the Maine incumbent, sustain broad trader uncertainty across outcome combinations rather than favoring any single sweep or split. Upcoming debates, final polling shifts, and national conditions in the weeks before November 3 could widen gaps by clarifying turnout patterns or candidate momentum in the battleground states.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$298
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. The three Senate contests remain tight toss-ups, with recent polls in Michigan showing Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers within a few points, Troy Jackson holding a slim edge over Susan Collins in Maine, and James Talarico staying competitive against Ken Paxton in Texas. These narrow margins, combined with an open seat in Michigan and the vulnerability of the Maine incumbent, sustain broad trader uncertainty across outcome combinations rather than favoring any single sweep or split. Upcoming debates, final polling shifts, and national conditions in the weeks before November 3 could widen gaps by clarifying turnout patterns or candidate momentum in the battleground states.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$298
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

関連

icon for 共和党がテキサス州知事選に勝ち、民主党がテキサス州上院選に勝つでしょうか？

共和党がテキサス州知事選に勝ち、民主党がテキサス州上院選に勝つでしょうか？

42%
はい
icon for 民主党はメイン州の上院と知事選挙で全勝するか？

民主党はメイン州の上院と知事選挙で全勝するか？

70%
はい
icon for 民主党はミシガン州の上院と知事選挙で圧勝するでしょうか？

民主党はミシガン州の上院と知事選挙で圧勝するでしょうか？

63%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「民主党全勝」で46%、次いで「テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主）」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Sep 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン」の現在のフロントランナーは「民主党全勝」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主）」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「上院3ウェイコンボ：テキサス、ミシガン、メイン」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。