The S&P 500 index hovers near record highs around 7,500, up roughly 10% year-to-date through mid-May 2026, propelled by strong Q1 earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed tech names—and resilient consumer spending amid moderating Treasury yields. However, trader sentiment reflects caution after April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since 2023, and nonfarm payrolls rose a softer-than-expected 115,000; the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, signaling patience on cuts. Prediction market odds aggregate capital-weighted consensus for year-end levels clustering at 7,600-8,250 per institutional forecasts, with the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI release on June 10 as key catalysts for rate path revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$98,259 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
11%
↑ 8,200ドル
32%
↑ 7,800ドル
59%
↑ 7,600ドル
76%
↓ 6,200ドル
37%
↓ 5,800ドル
27%
↓ 5,200ドル
14%
↓ 4,500ドル
9%
$98,259 Vol.
↑ 9,300ドル
$2,642 Vol.
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
$6,904 Vol.
11%
↑ 8,200ドル
$3,172 Vol.
32%
↑ 7,800ドル
$1,708 Vol.
59%
↑ 7,600ドル
$6,797 Vol.
76%
↓ 6,200ドル
$16,029 Vol.
37%
↓ 5,800ドル
$16,818 Vol.
27%
↓ 5,200ドル
$10,876 Vol.
14%
↓ 4,500ドル
$15,787 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index hovers near record highs around 7,500, up roughly 10% year-to-date through mid-May 2026, propelled by strong Q1 earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed tech names—and resilient consumer spending amid moderating Treasury yields. However, trader sentiment reflects caution after April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since 2023, and nonfarm payrolls rose a softer-than-expected 115,000; the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, signaling patience on cuts. Prediction market odds aggregate capital-weighted consensus for year-end levels clustering at 7,600-8,250 per institutional forecasts, with the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI release on June 10 as key catalysts for rate path revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$98,259終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index hovers near record highs around 7,500, up roughly 10% year-to-date through mid-May 2026, propelled by strong Q1 earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed tech names—and resilient consumer spending amid moderating Treasury yields. However, trader sentiment reflects caution after April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since 2023, and nonfarm payrolls rose a softer-than-expected 115,000; the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, signaling patience on cuts. Prediction market odds aggregate capital-weighted consensus for year-end levels clustering at 7,600-8,250 per institutional forecasts, with the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI release on June 10 as key catalysts for rate path revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$98,259終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThe S&P 500 index hovers near record highs around 7,500, up roughly 10% year-to-date through mid-May 2026, propelled by strong Q1 earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed tech names—and resilient consumer spending amid moderating Treasury yields. However, trader sentiment reflects caution after April CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since 2023, and nonfarm payrolls rose a softer-than-expected 115,000; the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, signaling patience on cuts. Prediction market odds aggregate capital-weighted consensus for year-end levels clustering at 7,600-8,250 per institutional forecasts, with the June 16-17 FOMC and May CPI release on June 10 as key catalysts for rate path revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問