Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 trader sentiment heading into year-end 2026, with Wall Street analysts projecting 25% full-year EPS expansion. The index recently traded near 7,723, supported by resilient consumer spending and upgraded profit forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs (8,000 target) and Citi (8,100), though Bank of America highlights downside risks at 7,100 amid valuation concerns. Q2 GDP growth slowed to 1.5% annualized while July CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year, leaving the Fed on hold at 3.75% with potential December tightening implied by some rate models. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August inflation data, and third-quarter earnings reports that could shift implied probabilities across common resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$294,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ $9,000
50%
↑ 8,600ドル
12%
↑ 8,200ドル
38%
↑ $8,000
54%
↓ $7,400
63%
↓ $7,200
62%
↓ $7,000
59%
↓ 6,200ドル
19%
↓ $6,000
50%
↓ 5,800ドル
14%
↓ 5,200ドル
8%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$294,666 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ 9,300ドル
$8,425 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 8,600ドル
$25,254 Vol.
12%
↑ 8,200ドル
$20,582 Vol.
38%
↑ $8,000
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
63%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,000
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ 6,200ドル
$41,912 Vol.
19%
↓ $6,000
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,800ドル
$36,445 Vol.
14%
↓ 5,200ドル
$47,859 Vol.
8%
↓ 4,500ドル
$54,140 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 trader sentiment heading into year-end 2026, with Wall Street analysts projecting 25% full-year EPS expansion. The index recently traded near 7,723, supported by resilient consumer spending and upgraded profit forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs (8,000 target) and Citi (8,100), though Bank of America highlights downside risks at 7,100 amid valuation concerns. Q2 GDP growth slowed to 1.5% annualized while July CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year, leaving the Fed on hold at 3.75% with potential December tightening implied by some rate models. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August inflation data, and third-quarter earnings reports that could shift implied probabilities across common resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$294,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 trader sentiment heading into year-end 2026, with Wall Street analysts projecting 25% full-year EPS expansion. The index recently traded near 7,723, supported by resilient consumer spending and upgraded profit forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs (8,000 target) and Citi (8,100), though Bank of America highlights downside risks at 7,100 amid valuation concerns. Q2 GDP growth slowed to 1.5% annualized while July CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year, leaving the Fed on hold at 3.75% with potential December tightening implied by some rate models. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August inflation data, and third-quarter earnings reports that could shift implied probabilities across common resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$294,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 trader sentiment heading into year-end 2026, with Wall Street analysts projecting 25% full-year EPS expansion. The index recently traded near 7,723, supported by resilient consumer spending and upgraded profit forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs (8,000 target) and Citi (8,100), though Bank of America highlights downside risks at 7,100 amid valuation concerns. Q2 GDP growth slowed to 1.5% annualized while July CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year, leaving the Fed on hold at 3.75% with potential December tightening implied by some rate models. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August inflation data, and third-quarter earnings reports that could shift implied probabilities across common resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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