Strong corporate earnings growth, now projected at 25% for 2026 driven by AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs near 7,799 amid 14% year-to-date gains. Recent tame producer price data has eased near-term rate-hike fears, with markets pricing limited Fed action at the September FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. However, persistent inflation above 3% and potential later tightening could pressure valuations if Treasury yields rise further. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,800 and 8,200, supported by resilient economic data but vulnerable to labor market or geopolitical shifts ahead of key September releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$300,707 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ $9,000
9%
↑ 8,600ドル
12%
↑ 8,200ドル
29%
↑ $8,000
75%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
62%
↓ $7,000
59%
↓ 6,200ドル
13%
↓ $6,000
26%
↓ 5,800ドル
11%
↓ 5,200ドル
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$300,707 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$100 Vol.
6%
↑ 9,300ドル
$8,425 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 Vol.
9%
↑ 8,600ドル
$26,235 Vol.
12%
↑ 8,200ドル
$21,484 Vol.
29%
↑ $8,000
$477 Vol.
75%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
59%
↓ 6,200ドル
$42,430 Vol.
13%
↓ $6,000
$0 Vol.
26%
↓ 5,800ドル
$36,628 Vol.
11%
↓ 5,200ドル
$50,483 Vol.
7%
↓ 4,500ドル
$54,186 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, now projected at 25% for 2026 driven by AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs near 7,799 amid 14% year-to-date gains. Recent tame producer price data has eased near-term rate-hike fears, with markets pricing limited Fed action at the September FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. However, persistent inflation above 3% and potential later tightening could pressure valuations if Treasury yields rise further. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,800 and 8,200, supported by resilient economic data but vulnerable to labor market or geopolitical shifts ahead of key September releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$300,707終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, now projected at 25% for 2026 driven by AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs near 7,799 amid 14% year-to-date gains. Recent tame producer price data has eased near-term rate-hike fears, with markets pricing limited Fed action at the September FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. However, persistent inflation above 3% and potential later tightening could pressure valuations if Treasury yields rise further. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,800 and 8,200, supported by resilient economic data but vulnerable to labor market or geopolitical shifts ahead of key September releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$300,707終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, now projected at 25% for 2026 driven by AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to fresh record highs near 7,799 amid 14% year-to-date gains. Recent tame producer price data has eased near-term rate-hike fears, with markets pricing limited Fed action at the September FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. However, persistent inflation above 3% and potential later tightening could pressure valuations if Treasury yields rise further. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,800 and 8,200, supported by resilient economic data but vulnerable to labor market or geopolitical shifts ahead of key September releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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